Arabica coffee futures today continued the recent sideways trend and had a calm start to the delivery period by recent standards. The spot July24 contract settled 0.85 lower at 226.30, trading in a range of 222.50 to 228.85. Total volume reached 47,257 contacts, including 15,031 spreads. The spot contract closed yesterday with 6,760 lots of open interest yesterday, and most of the today’s 9,860 lots of contract volume was focused on book squaring ahead of the delivery period. Overall volume and open interest have trended lower over the past 4 sessions, with the market trading in a tight 6.8 range as most participants have opted to stay out of the market until deliveries begin to play out. The July/Sep spread today traded in a range of -0.65 to 0.25, with not much to note in terms of price action or flow. Arabica futures will be closed tomorrow for holiday.
Robusta futures broke lower today through last week’s low of 4073 but recovered some ground with an hour until the close as it continues to also hold a sideways trading pattern. The market is trading around moving averages, bouncing off nearby supports and resistance levels. July24 closed 55 lower at 4108 on 17,560 contracts of total volume, including 5,786 spreads. The July/Sep was on the firm side today, trading up to a high of 120 before going out at 115 premium, finding some support despite the continued flow of gradings. The July24 contract still had a hefty 20,004 contracts of open interest as of yesterday’s close – traders will be watching this number as we approach first notice day on June 25th. Today’s price action took the July/July arb to 40 cents, a high since the end of May.
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Coffee Futures Closed Lower
Arabica futures opened at 225.50 and traded both sides of unchanged today. Commercial flow consisted of scale up origin selling against Sep24 and book squaring against July24. July24 settled 1.90 lower at 224.15 on 44,721 contracts of volume, including 14,231 spreads. Today’s COT (CIT) report showed the net non-commercial long position increased by 5,726 lots to a total of 26,410 contracts. The futures and options COT showed the non-commercial position decrease 2,038 lots to a total of 66,780. After today’s close, traders will have two sessions left to square their July24 positions before deliveries begin on June 20th. Reminder that the Arabica market will be closed on Wednesday June 19th. Robusta was the lead market today, with volume picking up and the July/Sep spread driving the flat price lower. Robusta Sep24 contract settled at $4093 with a 4102/3965 range. Market struggled to gain any traction. Short terms specs seemed to be trimming longs into very little resting roaster buying causing prices to break recent lows. Structure was the main trigger lower with nearby spreads in particular trading back below 3 figures, Jul/Sep saw a 99/125 range on 6.7k lots. Robusta Sep24 3800 put traded 500x @ 180. |
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