Arabica posted a more active outright trading session than yesterday’s, even as it battled to a modest 65 point gain (119.10) inside a 235 point range. Futures volatility was subdued during the overseas session, and traditional pit hours brought renewed selling – pressuring option volatility with it. Action was choppy and while a clear sell-side weight was present for much of the day, hitting a 117.20 low around 10:30 under spec pressure, a steady rise across commodities as well as value seekers among coffee endemics helped put in a floor and ultimately ran prices to intraday highs as jobbers were forced to cover. Structure made a partial daily recovery, HK gaining 15 points to -1.80 and HH 30 to -7.95, aiding sentiment. Wetter weather is expected in Brazil, yet this has often been true and needs to be realized. London fell $40 to 1343 after triggering stops around 8am EST. Structure was again at the forefront, undoing recent strength in FH which fell a dramatic $16 to -21. Appropriately given that the spot spread was the most notable coffee mover on the day, the FH -25 P CSO was the top strike across both markets trading 1700x at $6.
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January 2021
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